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2024-12-13 11:30:43

Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!


Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,890, while the number of individual stocks fell by 2,280. Today, although the index opened higher and went lower, it collapsed, but individual stocks still rose more and fell less. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, today's opening is the climax, and the opening at 3490 is only 10 points away from the opening at 3500, which is another day in great escape.For the next trend, Lao Liu also suggested in the long article of the Morning Post that if the closing price is below 3489.78 points, there is a high probability that the small yin and the small yang will fluctuate alternately. Then, after this wave of dishwashing knocks off the expectations of retail investors, it is estimated that it is the beginning of a new wave. In a word, in the short term, shock consolidation is still the second wave attack of winning three waves in the long term.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's high opening and low going are not unexpected in terms of technology. After all, it is not a good thing to expect too much consensus. In addition, yesterday's news blockade was quite strict, but the net outflow of domestic institutions was as high as 70 billion, and they would not chase after the empty space, so it is understandable to wash the dishes today.


Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!At present, the benefits are not digested, but the day when they are waiting to be cashed in. In addition, there are expectations of maintaining stability during the meeting, so the risk of a big drop is not great. This is just a small high point. Today, 50 billion domestic capital has gone, and foreign capital can't see the data, so it's uncertain for the time being, but mysterious funds should not continue to buy. Recently, this wave of market can be driven by mysterious capital pulses, and they will be fine if they are stable.At present, the benefits are not digested, but the day when they are waiting to be cashed in. In addition, there are expectations of maintaining stability during the meeting, so the risk of a big drop is not great. This is just a small high point. Today, 50 billion domestic capital has gone, and foreign capital can't see the data, so it's uncertain for the time being, but mysterious funds should not continue to buy. Recently, this wave of market can be driven by mysterious capital pulses, and they will be fine if they are stable.

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